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Narendra Modi vs Rahul Gandhi vs Nitish-Kumar

Scam hit UPA government lost the complete trust of India’s voters. If Mid term election will happen today, Congress will plummet to its lowest ever tally in that election. After Baba Ramdev & Anna Hazare episode its almost certain that Congress party will not head central Government after any mid-term poll scenario. Failed Prime Minister Manmohan Singh by facilitating scams and cover-ups has vaporised the credibility of the Congress Party led UPA Govt.

In Indian Political System, There are three fronts:

UPA: Congress, Trinmool Congress, DMK, NCP, NC, IUML, AIMIM, VCK, KC(Mani), SDF,
NDA: BJP, JD(U), Akali Dal, INLD, RLD, JMM, TRS, Shiv Sena, AGP, NPF, UKD, GJM, MNF
Others(Third Front): SP, BSP, CPI, CPI(M), RSP, FB, TDP, AIADMK, JD(S), RJD, LJP, RPI, MDMK, PMK, BJD

We have created two cases here:

1. If NDA will project Narendra Modi as the PM Candidate and UPA will project Rahul Gandhi as the PM candidate:

NDA will get more than 300 seats. And BJP will touch its highest ever tally in that mid-term poll. BJP on it own will win near about 230 seats. UPA will get its lowest ever tally around 116 seats. And Congress will see its lowest ever tally after 1977 disaster. If Narendra Modi will be PM candidate from NDA, There may be a chance that JD(U) will exit from NDA. But Other small party will join NDA like AIADMK, YSR Congress, MNS(Raj Thakre). Tally will remain same.

2. If NDA will project Nitish Kumar as the PM candidate and UPA will project Rahul Gandhi as the PM candidate:

NDA will get more than 210 seats. BJP on its own will win near about 160 seats. UPA will get 161 seats. In this secnario, Third front will fetch near about 170 seats. If Nitish Kumar will be PM candidate from NDA, There may be a chance that Other small party will join NDA like AIADMK, YSR Congress, NC, Trinmool Congress, MDMK, PMK, BJD. Tally will cross 300 mark.

In both the scenario, UPA will be loosing badly. Rahul Gandhi is trying hard to improve Congress position in state like UP, Bihar & Orissa. But Its not going to happen due to Scam hit UPA government lost the complete trust of India’s voters.

BJP will rise to its highest ever tally in that mid-term Lok Sabha election. The collapse of voters confidence in UPA govt, repel voters away from the Congress in all direct fighting states across the Hindi Belt except Uttar Pradesh, to give BJP almost all the seats in every state in this belt.

If mid-term poll will happen in next 6 month, That poll will experience the biggest flush out of sitting MPs. More than 65% sitting MPs will not return to Lok Sabha.

Only Sonia Gandhi can save Congress Party by installing an untainted, honest, credible loyalist as the Prime Minister by end of this year.

———-Poll prediction Analysis is done by India Hills Today team